Bare Ace River Bluff

Full Tilt Poker, $2/$4 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 7 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

Hero (UTG): $557
UTG+1: $462
MP: $74
CO: $387
BTN: $80
SB: $576.80
BB: $406

Pre-Flop: dealt to Hero (UTG)
Hero raises to $16, 2 folds, CO calls $16, BTN folds, SB calls $14, BB folds

Flop: ($52) (3 Players)
SB checks, Hero bets $40, CO folds, SB calls $40

Turn: ($132) [ ] (2 Players)
SB checks, Hero checks

River: ($132) [ ] (2 Players)
SB bets $105, Hero raises to $501 and is All-In, SB folds

Results: $342 Pot ($3 Rake)
Hero mucked and WON $339 (+$178 NET)


As you can tell from the HH, I got a little out of line on the river and decided to ship it in based on my read on the villain...a very ABC TAGish player who does not defend his blinds very lightly.

When villain led out for a large river bet, I felt he had a hand...but not a monster. Based on action on previous streets I surmised the following:

a) he did not have a flush (defending with sooted connectors to a UTG raise in a HU pot did not fit this player's profile)
b) he did not have a boat (villain would have CR'd the flop or led the turn if he indeed did flop a set to protect against draws)

So now that I know what he does not have, I think the villain's range is weighted heavily towards AJ or maybeeee TT. Most multitabling TAG's simply do not want to stack off with one pair. My line is definitely credible for how I would play a flush draw (the off soot 9 on the turn does not change the board in any way...and if I fire again, it is unlikely that I fold out any hands that beat me.) When discussing this with Bruechips...he brought up the point that I probably don't even need to have the nut spade to make this move.

BRACKCHIPS